A fresh wave of joint American and Israeli strikes has now hit Tehran and Karaj, while the regime’s newest supposed Supreme Leader, Moab / Mushtaba, is reportedly missing in action and possibly badly injured. The hit list has expanded, more military airports and IRGC sites are being destroyed, Qatar is under continued drone pressure, and even Iraq’s Erbil is back in the line of fire. At the same time, anti-IRGC sabotage inside Iran is growing, and the regime’s censorship apparatus may also be taking direct hits.

Iran

• Fresh joint strikes by the United States and Israel began again in Tehran and Karaj, with additional cities also being hit.
• The regime’s supposed new Supreme Leader, Moab / Mushtaba, is now reportedly missing in action and may have lost a leg.
• There is growing speculation that Mushtaba may already be dead, and that the regime may have effectively chosen a dead or incapacitated leader.
• During what was supposed to be his public debut or coronation-style appearance, he did not appear in person. Instead, a framed photo of him was placed on stage, and a message was read on his behalf.
• Mushtaba has reportedly not been seen publicly since the early days of the war.
• The IDF released a new hit list, placing Mushtaba at the top.
• Others on the new hit list include:
  • Ali Larijani
  • Hussein Mohseni
  • Ali Abdullahi
  • Mohammad Bagheri / Ghalibaf
  • Ahmed Vahidi, the newly promoted IRGC commander-in-chief
• The IDF released footage showing strikes on six Iranian military airports, reportedly destroying all of them.
• The IRGC barracks in Esfahan were flattened.
• Israeli and American strikes continue to target:
  • air bases
  • bunkers
  • tunnel networks
  • military airports
  • IRGC air force facilities
  • infrastructure around Mehrabad airport
• Mehrabad airport and surrounding military areas have reportedly been hit about five times over recent days.
• Tehran and Karaj are described as being hammered continuously, even though video flow is limited due to internet disruption.
• Anti-IRGC guerrilla-style sabotage is rising inside Iran.
• A young Iranian woman was shown setting fire to an IRGC tent/base on the street.
• Smaller IRGC bases and police positions are also reportedly being sabotaged by anti-regime Iranians.
• The regime has been setting up temporary street tents after losing more permanent bases and facilities.
• Several IT engineers allegedly connected to the IRGC censorship network may have been killed in a strike in Tehran, though that remained unverified in the text.
• Those deaths could significantly weaken the regime’s censorship and internet control system.
• Internet access inside Iran remains poor, with many updates coming mainly through Starlink-enabled sources.
• The regime’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, claimed Iran still has “many surprises” in store for the United States.
• Iran’s “surprises” have not amounted to much.

Israel

• Israel is conducting a new wave of strikes alongside the United States, focused heavily on Tehran, Karaj, military airports, IRGC bases, and leadership targets.
• The IDF published a new leadership hit list, with Mushtaba at the top.
• Israel reportedly destroyed six Iranian military airports.
• Israeli strikes also targeted the IRGC air force base near the commercial side of Mehrabad airport.
• Sirens sounded again in central Israel, but the latest Iranian missiles were either intercepted or fell into unpopulated areas.
• A missile aimed toward Ashdod reportedly fell into the sea.
• Israeli officials are said to be hunting not just fixed installations, but also bunkers and networks where Mushtaba may be hiding.
• There is unconfirmed Israeli-source suggestions that U.S. special forces preparations may exist for possible ground operations.

United States

• The U.S. is striking alongside Israel in Tehran, Karaj, and other cities.
• President Trump reportedly said he does not want to talk to Mushtaba, even if he is still alive.
• Trump again framed the war as necessary to stop Iran before it became an even larger threat to Israel, the United States, and Gulf Arab countries.
• Trump specifically referenced the B-2 raid as a turning point and said Iran’s missile-launch capability has now been reduced to a trickle.
• According to Trump’s statement:
  • around 80% of Iranian launch infrastructure has already been taken out
  • remaining launch sites are being destroyed rapidly
• Trump wants the war ended quickly and is at least willing to consider stronger options to make that happen.
• U.S. special forces may be prepared for possible ground action, though the speaker treated that as plausible but unconfirmed.

Qatar

• Qatar remains under heavy drone and missile pressure from Iran.
• The Qatari defense ministry released footage of its forces intercepting Iranian drones.
• Qatari air defenses and air force elements around Doha and nearby cities are actively engaging incoming threats.
• Qatar has repeatedly been attacked even while Iran continues to issue apologies and contradictory explanations.

Iraq

• A live feed from Erbil in Iraq was finally established.
• Erbil had reportedly been attacked by the IRGC over the previous hour or two.
• Iraq is again being treated as an active pressure point in the wider regional conflict.

France

• France is now moving naval forces to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
• President Macron was shown aboard the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier in the Mediterranean.
• France is portrayed as acting decisively to protect its citizens, interests, and allied shipping lanes.

Netherlands

• The Dutch are taking part of the European group taking regional defense seriously.
• The Netherlands is grouped with France as one of the countries willing to show up and support stability in the region.

United Kingdom

• The UK is having collapsed into indecision and repeated reversals.
• Prime Minister Starmer reportedly changed position multiple times in the span of about two weeks.
• Britain first signaled support for defensive participation, then backed away, then considered sending HMS Dragon, then cited repair delays, and now is again described as effectively not deploying anything.
• The latest portrayal is that Britain has chosen not to meaningfully get involved, even if British interests or citizens are exposed.
• The British response is being mocked as weak, slow, bureaucratic, and strategically unserious.

Australia

• The situation involving the Iranian women’s football team shifted again.
• Under heavy public pressure, including pressure attributed in the text to President Trump, the Australian government reportedly granted temporary asylum to five players who escaped their handlers.
• Other players reportedly returned to Iran because they feared retaliation against their families.
• The regime may now try to use the returning players as propaganda rather than immediately punish them in public, though arrest and abuse are still feared.
• One IRGC-linked handler, Muhammad Rahman Salari, was identified as monitoring the team, going through their phones, and effectively controlling their movements in Australia. He was described as having no legitimate football role despite staying close to the team and helping keep them confined.
• Australian authorities criticized for allowing this to happen on Australian soil but finally did something.

Regional / Multi-country picture

• Iran’s military and leadership structure is under growing pressure from simultaneous air strikes, sabotage, censorship disruptions, and public ridicule over the disappearance of its supposed new leader.
• The war is now hitting not just fixed military infrastructure, but also succession planning, command legitimacy, internal security, and even the regime’s propaganda image.
• Gulf states like Qatar remain under active attack, while European powers such as France and the Netherlands are becoming more visibly engaged.
• Britain is moving in the opposite direction, retreating into indecision.
• The anti-IRGC movement inside Iran is becoming more active, with sabotage and symbolic attacks increasing.
• The strategic picture is one of a regime losing not just assets, but coherence.