In this video, we explain why China’s DF-21D “carrier killer” missile has almost no realistic chance of hitting a U.S. carrier strike group:Chinese reconnaissance assets would struggle to penetrate U.S. defenses and get close enough to fix precise coordinates.Even if they could obtain those coordinates, they would need to transmit them in real time. But U.S. EA-37B Compass Call aircraft are believed to conduct wide-area jamming, making it nearly impossible for Chinese assets to pass accurate targeting data.The U.S. Space Force’s Counter Communications System (CCS) Block 10.3, based on Guam, is designed to disrupt satellite communications. While its exact capabilities are classified, it is widely believed capable of interfering with navigation signals such as China’s BeiDou, creating serious trajectory errors.Finally, when the DF-21D re-enters the atmosphere at nearly Mach 10, it experiences a blackout zone where heat plasma disables its seeker and communications. Once it clears that blackout, only around ten seconds of guidance time may remain—far too little for precise course correction.Bottom line: The DF-21D may look fearsome on paper, but in reality, its chances of striking a U.S. carrier are extremely low.