Based on the evidence, Iranian President Ebraham Raisi was most likely involved in a flight mishap in poor weather.Conspiracy theories involving western sabotage aren’t very likely because it would be difficult to gain access to the aircraft. Conspiracy theories involving western direct action are also unlikely because of the difficulty in identifying the target during foggy weather.It might be possible that a hard line component of the IRCG or Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps might have sabotaged the plane to gain power but the President of Iran serves at the pleasure of the Supreme Leader, who in this case is Ali Khamenei. So this is unlikely.The crash was most likely a weather mishap.