17 Dec: Russian DEFENSE IS BREAKING DOWN in Multiple Places | War in Ukraine Explained

General

Today there is a lot of news from the Luhansk front.When it comes to the front to the north of Svatove, the fighting inside Kuzemivka continues. Today the Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces once again repelled Russian assaults near Novoselivske. As you remember, the Russians recently lost critical ground due to the recent Ukrainian counterattack, so in order to not allow the Ukrainians to develop their success further, they also started assaulting Stelmakhivka. The latest reports suggest that they are launching one attack after another, which indeed fixes Ukrainian forces and does not allow to change the compositions of troops necessary to launch an offensive towards Kuzemivka.Near the Kyslivka group, the Ukrainians finally established control over Yahidne. This is an extremely important development because there are no big fortifications behind the Kyslivka group. This is the area where we will likely see the biggest movements of the front line because with the biggest settlements on the current line coming under Ukrainian control, the Russians have a really hard time holding their defense in Orlianske, and they have a hard time defending Volodymyrivka. As you can see from the geography, the next major defense line goes along the Kobylka River, so when the front line shifts eastward, the Ukrainians will have direct access to Svatove.The Ukrainians will also undermine Russian defense in the northern part. In fact, Russian sources are already reporting about the Ukrainian preparation for offensive actions near Tavilzhanka. If you still remember, last month, the Russians conducted a limited offensive operation here and unsuccessfully tried to push the Ukrainians to the other side of the river. Right now, everything returned to the status quo, and judging by the increased concentration of troops, the Ukrainians might be preparing to breach Russian defense here. This would be logical because the latest reports also suggest that the Ukrainians got deep behind Pershotravneve, which creates a salient. The grinding process has been going on for a long time, so right now, Russian defense in this region is undermined, and if the weather is favorable, we may see a lot of changes here in the coming month.When it comes to the front to the south of Svatove, the most intense fights are taking place around Kreminna. Today, Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian assaults near Ploshchanka and Chervonopopivka. The information regarding Ploschanka is unclear – some reports say that the Ukrainians managed to push the Russians out, while others claim that the Russians are still in control. In any case, judging by the reports, the fights have been moving further and further from Makiivka, so it is highly likely that the Russians have lost the upper hand and desperately try to defend this crucial position. Ploschanka is a small village located on the local heights, which secures the flank of the Russians in Novovodiane. The moment the Russians lose Ploschanka, their positions above will be compromised, and they will eventually need to step back, opening access to Svatove from the south as well.Overall, despite very slow progress, the Ukrainians are still getting closer to Svatove. The loss of key defense positions to the north of Svatove is leading to a lot of changes, which will force the Russians to devote a disproportionate amount of resources to stabilize the situation, which will open a window of opportunity for the Ukrainians in the south. If you live in the United Kingdom, European Union or Norway, then you can finally make a purchase in the online store UA Supporter. We finally added these shipping regions alongside US, Canada and others, so if you want to buy some products with Ukrainian symbols, click the link in the description, and check out the catalog in my online store.

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