Russia has plenty of wheat. The problem is harvesting it, moving it and getting it onto a ship.
Ukrainian strikes are squeezing Russia’s grain conveyor at both ends: refinery attacks are making diesel harder to obtain in some farming regions, while attacks on Black Sea export terminals are creating congestion, raising insurance costs and forcing Russia to consider expensive alternative routes.
In this video, I explain why Russia is not about to starve—but why a manageable logistics problem in 2026 could become a much larger agricultural and financial problem in 2027.
Ukraine doesn’t have to burn Russia’s wheat fields. It only has to break the synchronization between the combine, the fuel truck, the elevator, the train and the ship.
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Source: Ryan McBeth
