Russia is about to launch a spring offensive, according to the Ukrainians. In this video I discuss why that makes sense. On the political arena, things have been going well for Russia recently, but on the frontline the trend is towards smaller and smaller gains. They need to re-energize their offensive to save Putin’s war narrative.0:00 Intro0:25 The strategic paradox1:53 Timing and resources2:30 Three problems for Russia5:28 Progress getting costly6:11 Putin’s narrative needs advances